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THE VERMONT EDUCATION REPORT
July 17, 2007 Vol.
7, No. 10
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In
this issue:
1. Bi-monthly
schedule for the VER
2. Friedman
Dinner – July 31st at the Windjammer
3. Is Your
Local School Board Representative a VTNEA Member?
4. The Culture
Gap
5. An Independent
Look at K-12 Education in Vermont
6. Commentary:
Vermont's New 15-year School System
Schedule Note
The VER will be going to
a bi-monthly schedule for the rest of the summer.
Friedman Dinner – July 31st at the Windjammer
Don’t forget to RSVP for
the Friedman Dinner by July 28th, 2007. Social hour starts at 6:00 PM,
Dinner at 7:00 PM. Please reserve your seat by calling or emailing the
Ethan Allen Institute, 695 1448 or eai@ethanallen.org.
The price is $30, and may be paid in advance or at the door. (The Windjammer
is at the Best Western Hotel 200 yards east of I-89 Exit 14E on Williston
Road.)
Is Your Local School Board Representative
a VTNEA Member?
By Curtis Hier
Of the roughly 1400 school
board members in Vermont, a large percentage is or has been employed by
a school system. Although Vermont law precludes teachers (or any school
employees) from serving on the board that employs them, many school board
members are currently teachers in other districts. And many of them are
members of VTNEA.
Is there an unhealthy conflict
for these teacher/school board members? Just the fact that VTNEA embraces
the phenomenon ought to concern us. VTNEA president Angelo Dorta was recently
quoted in the Burlington Free Press as saying, “We think it's always good
to have people who know education on school boards and certainly for these
folks they know education from the inside as well as from the outside in."
For these people, undoubtedly
there is a conflict between allegiance to taxpayers and allegiance to fellow
teachers. VNTEA encourages solidarity among Vermont’s teachers. Beyond
that, it is helpful for a teacher if teachers in neighboring schools have
lucrative contracts. Since contract negotiations inevitably involve comparisons
with other districts, it’s in a teacher’s interest to have teachers in
nearby districts earning high salaries.
A disturbing trend currently
in Vermont is the number of school districts that are having “agency fees”
negotiated into their contracts. An agency fee is an amount that a union
local can assess non-members for taking advantage of their salary negotiating
efforts. Since 2005, it’s been legal in Vermont for agency fees to be negotiated.
Our NEA-dominated legislature pushed that through last biennium.
NEA claims that 63 percent
of its dues are used for collective bargaining. That percentage seems intuitively
high, and indeed a Pennsylvania court found that the union only used about
25 percent of its dues revenue for collective bargaining. Nevertheless,
union locals throughout Vermont are commonly charging 80 percent of their
dues for agency fees!
Regardless of what the union
claims, a large percentage of this money goes to liberal political causes
and soft money for liberal candidates. This practice is unconscionable.
Over two centuries ago, Thomas Jefferson declared: “To compel a man to
furnish contributions of money for the propagation of opinions which he
disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.”
So why would a school board
agree to an agency fee provision? It is VTNEA members on school boards
that are largely responsible for the agency fees finding their way into
the contracts of Vermont teachers.
I would encourage citizens
to contact their local school board representatives to urge them to reject
agency fees and adopt policies which preclude teachers from serving on
negotiating committees for school boards. Additionally, voters should find
out what school board members are VTNEA members and recruit alternative
candidates to run against them.
We may never take back our
Legislature from the VTNEA. But we can make sure they don’t get control
of our local school boards.
Curtis Hier is a high
school teacher in Fair Haven and chairman of First Class Education for
Vermont.
The Culture Gap
By Brink Lindsey
Wall Street Journal
July 9, 2007; Page A15
“Cut through all the statistical
squid ink surrounding the issue of economic inequality, and you'll find
a phenomenon that genuinely deserves public concern.
“Over the past quarter-century
or so, the return on human capital has risen significantly. Or to put it
another way, the opportunity cost of failing to develop human capital is
now much higher than it used to be. The wage premium associated with a
college degree has jumped to around 70% in recent years from around 30%
in 1980; the graduate degree premium has soared to over 100% from 50%.
Meanwhile, dropping out of high school now all but guarantees socioeconomic
failure.
“In part this development
is cause for celebration. Rising demand for analytical and interpersonal
skills has been driving the change, and surely it is good news that economic
signals now so strongly encourage the development of human talent. Yet
-- and here is the cause for concern -- the supply of skilled people is
responding sluggishly to the increased demand.
<snip>
“Alas, there is no silver
bullet for closing the culture gap. But the public institutions most directly
responsible for human capital formation are the nation's schools, and it
seems beyond serious dispute that in many cases they are failing to discharge
their responsibilities adequately. Those interested in reducing meaningful
economic inequality would thus be well advised to focus on education reform.
And forget about adding new layers of bureaucracy and top-down controls.
Real improvements will come from challenging the moribund state-school
monopoly with greater competition.”
Visit
this link to read the whole commentary.
An Independent Look at K-12 Education
in Vermont
Hugh Kemper of Londonderry,
Vermont, worked for J.P. Morgan for 31 years. Because of his financial
background, people in his town asked him to run for a seat on the school
board at Town Meeting in 2005. He reluctantly agreed to do so. Thus began
a research project that Kemper had not set out to do. He has taken his
research and put it down on paper in an organized manner so that you and
I can read what he discovered. His analysis of K-12 Education in Vermont
was published in June of 2007.
His analysis is not just
about the student to teacher ratio and the associated cost drivers. It
also talks about performance and how test scores are compared with scores
from around the nation. Vermont comes in 2nd when the fourth grade reading
scores of ‘all students’ in Vermont are compared with the fourth grade
reading scores of ‘all students’ from other states. Then Kemper compares
Vermont’s white/non-Hispanic scores with other states’ white/non-Hispanic
test scores and Vermont is 21st in the country in fourth grade reading
scores.
Below are the Key Findings
of Kemper’s work. The entire analysis is online
at VermontTiger.com. The Executive
Summary describes the analytical focus, key findings, and accountability
or need for change with in the educational system. You can also view Kemper’s
Power
Point Presentation and his End
Notes which contain much of the data he used.
Key Findings:
(1) CONTEXT: Between
1990 & 1997 the 2.2% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of Vermont
PPS was marginally lower than that for the U.S. (3.4%) and other New England
states (3.5%). Between 1998 and 2002, however, Vermont PPS grew at an accelerated
annualized rate of 8.5%, i.e. at a materially faster pace than in the U.S
(5.4%) and in other NE states (6.1%). For the 1998-2006 period, Vermont
PPS grew at a 7.7% annualized rate.
(2) AFFORDABILITY: Between
1990 & 1997 the 2.2% CAGR of Vermont PPS 2.2% was lower than that of
the U.S. Consumer Price Index (3.0%) and the growth of Vermont Per Capita
Personal Income (3.7%). Between 1998 and 2006, however, Vermont PPS’ 7.7%
annualized growth was 2.8x the CPI (2.7%) and 1.8x Vermont Per Capita Personal
Income (4.2%).
(3) PRIMARY COST DRIVER:
The primary driver behind the dramatic acceleration of Vermont PPS is staff
related costs which account for approximately 85% of current education
expenditures. Notwithstanding Vermont’s already comparatively low 13.8:
1 Pupil/Teacher and 6.8:1 Pupil/Staff ratios in 1996, by 2005/06 staffing
had increased by 22.6% (or by 3,514) while enrollment declined by 9.1%
(or by 9,706) resulting in P/T and P/S ratios of 10.9:1 and 5.1:1 respectively.
(4) PERFORMANCE: While Vermont
public education is generally well regarded based on student performance
on national tests, a very different impression emerges when comparing performance
on an ‘apples to apples’ basis. Vermont is 95% ‘white/non-Hispanic’. Comparing
the performance (4th grade reading) of Vermont ‘white/non-Hispanic’ students
with those of other states drops Vermont’s national ranking from 2nd to
21st with a score marginally below the comparable national average. Vermont’s
return on education spending (ROES) ranks 46th nationally.
(5) COST STRUCTURE: Due
to extraordinarily high staffing levels Vermont’s cost structure compares
unfavorably with those of many other states whose students are performing
as well as or better than Vermont students. This difference cannot be attributed
to either ‘economies of scale’ or special education. The application
to Vermont of P/T and P/S ratios of other ‘small’ comparably or better
performing states suggests that Vermont is 30.6% overstaffed. Reductions
of 2005/06 staffing levels are achievable via 646 fewer teachers (-7.3%)
and 5,185 fewer ‘other’ staff (-50.7%). Vermont’s failure to reduce staffing
as enrollment declined from its 1996 peak has cost Vermont taxpayers dearly.
For example, had Vermont continued to ‘invest’ in education at a PPS rate
of inflation + 2% since 1997 while adjusting for the annual decline in
enrollment, PPS for 2006/07 would have equaled $9,497 or 30.5% less
than actual PPS of $13,664. This policy would have reduced Vermont current
education expenditures during 1997/08-2006/07 by 19.6% or by approximately
$2.0 billion.
Commentary: Vermont's New 15-year School
System
By John McClaughry
In his state of the state
message in January 2006, Gov. Jim Douglas observed that the 2005 legislature
"added a provision into the final budget bill that I fear will lead to
an unacceptable outcome: adding two more pre-kindergarten grades to the
already stressed K-12 education system and putting taxpayers on the hook
to fund it." He asked the legislature "to reconsider the decision to further
increase the cost of education and the growing tax bills that accompany
those costs."
On June 1 Gov. Douglas signed
H.534, Strangely, this bill will add two more pre-kindergarten grades to
the already stressed K-12 education system, and put taxpayers on the hook
to fund it. Welcome to the new 15-year public education system!
The 2007 preschool bill was
the product of four years of intense advocacy by persons and organizations
that stand to benefit from the expansion of the public school system.
It was of no concern to them that the thorough ten-year study of Georgia's
pioneering universal preschool program showed zero educational benefits.
Since 1987 school districts
have been authorized to operate preschools, and a few did, at local expense.
But the Brigham decision and Act 60 ended the era of "local expense". Post-Act
60, it became necessary to get the Education Fund to pay for local preschools.
For the past four years the legislature proved to be unable to make the
statutory change to make this legal. Nonetheless, the Department of Education
aggressively encouraged districts to start new preschools, legal or not,
until by this month some 130 had done so.
The new bill makes tapping
the Education Fund to pay for preschools legal. It also pretends to "cap"
preschool spending by allowing districts to charge the cost of approximately
half of its eligible 3- and 4- year olds to the Education Fund. This provided
the fig leaf that apparently won the Governor's signature. Let's look at
how this "cap" will work. Say that a school district, using the three-part
formula in the bill, arrives at 100 preschool students chargeable to the
Education Fund. Ten of them are EEE-qualified, and thus automatically chargeable.
But there are 150 kids who want the remaining 90 slots. Who gets them?
The district can't pay for
the extra 60 with its "own money". Since Brigham, school districts no longer
have their "own money." Perhaps it can raise private funds to pay the extra
quarter-million dollars needed each year. Most likely not.
Perhaps (the law is not clear)
the district could take the Education Fund money for 90 kids and spread
it over all 150, requiring the parents of all 150 to pay the difference
in tuition. This also seems unlikely.
So the district will have
to run a lottery: 150 kids for 90 slots. And somewhere the bank president's
son will win and the quickstop clerk's daughter will lose. Unfair! By 2010,
when the Department is charged to report on this question, there will be
irresistible pressure to scrap the "cap". That's the point where Vermont
will have its 15-year public school system.
The new bill allows independent
preschools to collaborate with school districts to offer early education
programs. But the government will determine who is "qualified" to supervise
the independent programs, and the school district holds the purse strings.
Since the Vermont-NEA and the school district will prefer to have kids
in (unionized) public preschools rather than having to deal with (non-union)
independent schools, the independent preschools will either be swallowed
up in the public school system, or left to try to stay in business serving
1- and 2-year olds.
The advocates claim the bill
will "control costs". Without the "cap" in this bill, they say, every
district could offer preschool to their 3- and 4-year olds, and that would
cause a much larger drain on the Education Fund. They estimate that the
bill will cost an additional $14 million a year. This is a far larger cost
than the $9 million a year that the legislature guesstimates will be saved
by its feeble "Think Twice" split-vote plan due in 2010.
But all that begs the question.
There is no statutory authorization now for the Education Fund to pay any
preschool bills. This bill now provides it. And it's very hard to see how
the vaunted "cap" can possibly survive past 2010.
Cost control? The legislature
gave school districts the key to the cash register, and egged on by the
advocates and the Department, you can bet they'll use it. The likely result
will be no identifiable educational benefits, universal taxpayer-funded
day care, severe pressure on independent day care and early education providers,
and no true parental choice. That's certainly not a victory for anybody's
Agenda of Affordability.
* * * * *
John McClaughry is President
of the Ethan Allen Institute
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